New data on credit suggests potential for systemic weakness that could inhibit recovery. Raising more cash in portfolios and introducing WCA Credit Thermometer Index.
Last weekend’s historic events restructure Wall Street, in this commentary, we review where we are and implications for portfolio strategy.
GSE action suggests major long-run changes, but offers little to improve the current recessionary conditions facing economy.
An analysis of the economy’s performance as seen in the GDP report.
A look at market performance during profit contractions.
Portfolio strategies for investing during recession.
Profit and growth expectations remain too high, but price corrections should create opportunities in 2008.
Given all the discussion about the “Goldilocks Economy,” we evaluate the economy’s health from the point of view of the NBER’s Recession Dating Committee.
With risk rising, we identify five key aspects of the economy to focus on for signs of improvement.
The Fed’s first rate cut coincides with a turning point for the economy. The critical issue is not what the Federal Reserve does with rates but how the economy responds in turn. We lay out three possible scenarios for the way forward.