Q4 2016 Tactical Asset Allocation
The economy continues to gradually improve from a near stall earlier in the year. Earnings forecasts are increasing, and cash returns to equity investors look appealing compared to record low Treasury yields. With signs of economic slack abating, the Fed now seems to be on track for a December rate hike.
Equity allocations in portfolios were increased to overweight during the summer, and we continue to maintain a tilt toward large capitalization domestic growth stocks versus foreign. Bond allocations are tilted away from low-yielding, long-term Treasuries, favoring shorter-duration and higher-yielding corporate debt.